Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date Pages
Tax Filing Season Statistics Update - Total Refund Dollars Down 1.3% YOY Through Week #9 – Several Key Statistics Reverse Trend 2020-04-02 3
RH: RH - Bull Market Story Operating in a Not So Bull Market – Lowering Estimates as Sales Declines Likely to Get Worse Before Stabilizing RH 2020-03-31 5
DLTR: Dollar Tree - Some Silver Linings, Post Management Call Back Notes, Lowering Estimates & Price Target to $71 . . . Stay DG > DLTR DLTR 2020-03-31 5
Tracking the Consumer & COVID-19 (Week #3) - Hunker-Down Behavior Accelerates = Digital Activity (+), Online Grocery (+), Stock-Up (+) > Store Visits (-), Big Ticket (-) 2020-03-29 8
DLTR: Dollar Tree - Upgrade to Hold-Rated; If 2020 Mirrors 2008 . . . Comps Will Inflect – Masking Structural Issues at FDO Division; Still DG > DLTR DLTR 2020-03-27 5
Footfall + Web Traffic March Update (3/27) - BJ’s, Costco, Home Depot, & Tractor Supply = Store + Digital Winners Alongside Usual Suspects (Walmart + Target) Month-To-Date 2020-03-27 4
$2.2 Trillion Stimulus Bill Review - Implications for the Consumer/Retail Space = Likely Winners Include DG, DLTR, BJ’s, WMT, TJX, and ROST 2020-03-27 3
Tax Filing Season Statistics Update - Total Refund Dollars Down 0.4% YOY Through Week #8 – Key Statistics Continue to Advance 2020-03-26 3
TGT: Target - Buyers on the COVID-19 Business Update, Management Call Back Alleviates Concerns – 6 Key Takes, Stay Buy-Rated TGT 2020-03-25 5
W: Wayfair - Going Out on the “Risk Curve” - ~75% Pullback Creates Interesting Opportunity if DNB’s Capture Share from B&M’s, U/G to Buy-Rated W 2020-03-25 5
Low & Middle Market Pricing Study (#20) - Wal-Mart Flexing Prices . . . Again; DG & FDO Gap Widens to 2.6% and 5.2%, Respectively; YOY Basket Inflation Slows Meaningfully 2020-03-24 6
Broadlines & Hardlines Retail - Store Closing Update Through March 22 2020-03-23 2
Tracking the Consumer & COVID-19 (Week #2) - “Hunker Down” Mentality Continues = 8 Takes from Our 300+ Household Survey Taken on 3/19-3/20 2020-03-22 7
Tax Filing Season Statistics Update - Total Refund Dollars Down 0.6% YOY Through Week #7 – The Statistics Continue to Improve 2020-03-20 3
Web Traffic Data Update (Through 3/15) - Warehouse Clubs Seeing Biggest Surge . . . Followed by Discounters. Home Depot + Williams-Sonoma Holding Strong 2020-03-20 3
WSM: Williams-Sonoma - 2nd Derivative Beneficiary of Stay-At-Home Trend = Part of “Hunker-Down” Portfolio, CFO Call-Back Notes, Staying Long WSM 2020-03-19 6
Department Stores - The Next Shoe to Drop? CECL Accounting Standard = More Havoc on EPS Profiles; ~0.4%-40.0%+ Further Potential Downside Exposure 2020-03-19 7
FIVE: Five Below - Riders On The Storm . . . Channeling Our Inner Jim Morrison In These Uncertain Times . . . Post 4Q Thoughts FIVE 2020-03-18 6
COST: Costco Wholesale - Core Biz on Fire + Next Leg of Digital Growth w/Innovel Acquisition = Upgrade from Accumulate-Rated to Buy-Rated COST 2020-03-17 4
February ’20 Retail Sales Recap - Yesterday’s News But . . . Solid Growth on YOY Basis with Core Up 7.6%; 10/14 Categories Accelerate on the Stacks 2020-03-17 3

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