Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date
FIVE: Five Below - Good Start Like the Eagles, But We Expect FIVE to Finish Strong; Raising 4Q Estimates; PT Stays at $140 FIVE 2019-01-14
DG: Dollar General - 6 Key Takes from Conference Call w/CEO Todd Vasos and CFO John Garrett; Stay Buy-Rated with $125 Price Target DG 2019-01-11
KSS: Kohl's - Buyers on Pullback; Holiday Comp Accelerates ~550 bps on Stacks From 3Q – Lending Confidence For ‘19, Post Mgmt Call Back Notes KSS 2019-01-10
M: Macy's - Win Some . . . Lose Some; Thesis Changing 4Q Leads Us To Move To Sidelines, Downgrade to Hold, CFO Call Back Notes M 2019-01-10
TGT: Target - Holiday Stacks Show Ability to Comp-the-Comp; Management Call Back Notes TGT 2019-01-10
COST: Costco Wholesale - December Core SSS Rise 7.0% > Model of 5.0%; Management Call Back Color; Sticking with Issaquah COST 2019-01-09
JCP: J.C. Penney - Holiday SSS Drop 5.4% = No Worse Than Expected; Deeper Inventory Clean-Up on the Come, Management Call Back Notes JCP 2019-01-08
PIR: Pier 1 Imports - Thesis Played Out = Upgrading to Hold-Rated from Underperform-Rated PIR 2019-01-08
COST: Costco Wholesale - December SSS Pre-Game: 5.0% Core Comp; E-commerce to Optically Look Soft; Gas Margins Continue to Be Strong As Prices Drop COST 2019-01-08
DLTR: Dollar Tree - "Win/Win" Set-Up Now . . . Upgrade to Accumulate-Rated with $110 Price Target DLTR 2019-01-07
SHLD Bankruptcy Market Share Study - Sizing Up the Opportunity If SHLD Were To Liquidate . . . JCPenney Looks to Be Biggest “Potential” Beneficiary 2019-01-07
December 2018 Macro Survey - “CNN Effect” Taking Its Toll on Consumer Sentiment . . . Macro Outlook Finishes on Sour Note . . . Stage Set for Softer ’19 RCS 2019-01-04
Broadlines & Hardlines Retail - HNY! Top 10 Predictions For 2019 = TGT, RH, DLTR, COST, SFM, HD, KSS, FIVE, JCP, & PIR 2019-01-03
The Weekend Warrior (12/21) - Merry Christmas To All . . . and To All A Good Night! 2018-12-21
PIR: Pier 1 Imports - Dog Days of December; 3Q18 SSS Decelerate ~800 bps on Stacks + CEO Shake-Up; Stay Underperform . . . PT to $0.75 PIR 2018-12-20
4Q18 Home Improvement Survey - Surprisingly Upbeat Results; ~58% of Households Plan Projects in ‘19 – Up YOY + Sequentially; Weighted Avg. Spend up ~13.5% 2018-12-20
Hard Discounter Pricing Study - Aldi Expands Price Gap vs. Walmart Further; Some Signs of Inflation Emerging 2018-12-18
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - HQ Visit Yields More Good Than Bad . . . But Lowering Estimates To Reflect Softer Flooring Backdrop + Higher '19 Costs; PT to $32 FND 2018-12-17
HD: Home Depot - 6 Takes From HQ Trip In Atlanta with CFO Carol Tome; Remain Buy-Rated with $210 Price Target HD 2018-12-17
November ’18 Retail Sales Wrap - November Retail Sales +4.9% YOY, With 2-Year Trends Accelerating For Most Categories (Electronics, General Merch, Dept Stores = +) 2018-12-14

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