Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date Pages
The Retail Playbook: November 2020 - New Barbell = Team Compound + Team Comeback; 3Q Preview; New SOG Rankings; Upgrade = HD, ROST, BURL // Downgrade = LOW, WSM 2020-11-12 26
Low & Middle Market Pricing Study (#23) - The General Back On Top with 80 bps Lead vs. Walmart with The FDO Gaining “Some” Discipline . . . Signs of Basket Inflation Remain 2020-11-11 6
TGT: Target - Another Brick to Help Comp the ‘21 Wall . . . We Like the ULTA Partnership TGT 2020-11-10 5
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - 4 Key Takeaways from Virtual NDR with CFO Trevor Lang . . . Stay Buy-Rated with $90 Price Target FND 2020-11-10 5
LOW: Lowe's - HD Supply = The Case For > The Case Against Given Batchelder Connection + 4.5% EPS Accretion; Quick Thoughts LOW 2020-11-09 4
COST: Costco Wholesale - No Recount Needed in Issaquah; October Core SSS +16.5% with Traffic Accelerating, Mgmt. Takes COST 2020-11-04 5
W: Wayfair - An Undeniably Strong 3Q Print . . . Staying Favorably Biased . . . But Next Leg Higher Will Require Some Patience After YTD Move W 2020-11-03 6
W: Wayfair - Solid Finish to October - Last Minute Thoughts Into 3Q Print W 2020-11-02 3
COST: Costco Wholesale - Boosting October Core SSS View to 12.5%; Survey (+), Traffic Data (+), & Basket Data (+/-), CFO Call (+) COST 2020-11-02 6
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - A Concept That Checks All the Boxes – Upgrade To Buy-Rated Post ~15% Pullback; Establishing New $90 Price Target FND 2020-11-02 7
Tracking Consumer Behavior in a Covid World (Week #34) - Aversion Rises as Covid Cases Move Higher; Overall Behavior and Sentiment Remain in Tight Holding Pattern = Stick w/ Barbell 2020-11-01 9
2020 Holiday Survey – Part I - 56 Days & Counting . . . We Lean Bullish Despite Status Quo Survey for 2 Reasons; Earlier Shopping & Online Surge As Expected 2020-10-30 6
FIVE: Five Below - Scenes From the Swamps of Jersey: End of Quarter Field Work + Data Update + Promo Tracker = Stick with 5% Comp Over/Under FIVE 2020-10-29 9
SFM: Sprouts Farmers Markets - Covid Giveth, Covid Taketh . . . Comp Slowdown + Retention Uncertainty > Margins; Post 3Q Thoughts SFM 2020-10-28
Covid Hotspot Traffic Assessment - Despite Rising Cases, October Traffic Improves vs. Sept. in 6 COVID Hot Spots (IL, TX, MI, FL, CA, WI) for 10 Large Cap Retailers 2020-10-28 5
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - Reading the 3Q Print: Raising 3Q SSS Estimate to 20.0% . . . October Foot Traffic Data Accelerates FND 2020-10-28 5
October 2020 Macro Survey (#42) - GHRA Sentiment Index Inches Up To 75.3 as Recovery Slowly Materializes with Job Uncertainty Weighing on Results 2020-10-27 9
COST: Costco Wholesale - Wrapping Up The “Come-Clubbing” 2020 Tour; 6 Key Takes from COST Call with CFO Richard Galanti COST 2020-10-23 5
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Deja Vu to Dollar General and March 2019; 10 Takes From 3Q Print & Investor Call, Raising Estimates . . . Buy The Pullback TSCO 2020-10-22 6
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Quick Thoughts on Tractor’s Strong 3Q Print; October Trends Stay Strong . . . Don’t Over Think It TSCO 2020-10-22 5

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