Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date Pages
M: Macy's - Lateral Winners/Losers, Key Takes, & New Estimates, Raise PT to $19 - Analyst Day - Part II M 2020-02-05 5
M: Macy's - Running To Stand Still? Smart Decisions . . . But Clock is Ticking - Analyst Day - Part I M 2020-02-04 4
COST: Costco Wholesale - January SSS Pre-Game = Modeling +4.8% Core . . . But Upside is Possible COST 2020-02-04 6
The Weekend Warrior (1/31/19) - Super Bowl 54 Prediction: San Francisco 49ers 41 – Kansas City Chiefs 38 2020-01-31 9
M: Macy's - Analyst Day Preview: 10 Questions for Management. Remain Hold-Rated M 2020-01-31 4
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Long-Term Fans . . . But Today's Stock Reaction is Perplexing, Lowering Estimates TSCO 2020-01-30 6
Spring 2020 Weather Outlook Call Recap - Mother Nature Should Be A Nice Tailwind in 1H20 and into the BTS Season with Parallels Back to 2012 and 2015 2020-01-29 4
Off-Price Retail (OPR) Initiation & Deep Dive - Ross Stores + Burlington = Accumulate-Rated; TJX = Hold-Rated 2020-01-29 60
December ’19 Retail Sales Recap - Digital + Home Improve Shine . . . But Most Categories Slow on 2-Year Basis as Holiday Data Points Continue to be Soft 2020-01-16 3
TGT: Target - Shorter Season + Fulfillment Mixdown = Likely Culprits Behind Holiday Miss = Buy the Weakness (like Five Below) TGT 2020-01-15 5
FIVE: Five Below - 4Q Miss = “One-Off” > Structural . . . Expect Recovery To Manifest in Coming Months, Post ICR Notes, Lowering Estimates/PT to $120 FIVE 2020-01-13 5
FIVE: Five Below - What’s Wrong in Philly? First the Eagles . . . Now FIVE? Holiday SSS Way Below Expectations - Initial Thoughts FIVE 2020-01-13 3
Low & Middle Market Pricing Study (#19) - DG Nears Parity w/ WMT (+) . . . FDO Narrows The Gap (+); AMZN Gets Aggressive on Price; Inflation Fairly Steady Across the Board 2020-01-10 6
JCP: J.C. Penney - Holiday Results A Touch Better, But Uneventful; McCarthy Hire Remains the Big News In The D JCP 2020-01-09 4
KSS: Kohl's - Not A Great Holiday for Menomonee Falls – Lowering Estimates + Price Target to $44 = Where’s the Amazon Returns Lift? KSS 2020-01-09 4
COST: Costco Wholesale - Santa Galanti Delivers . . . Again; December Core SSS +7.8% vs. 6.0% Estimate = COST > BJ in Club Vertical COST 2020-01-08 5
Shades of Grey Portfolio - January 2020 - Tread Lightly Young Jedi Masters: Downgrading = DLTR, FIVE, BJ, & TSCO, Upgrading = JWN, Top Ideas . . . DG + TGT + WMT 2020-01-08 18
M: Macy's - “I Believe . . I Believe . . It’s Silly, But I Believe” – Better Holiday on 34th Street, Raising Estimates & Price Target to $18 M 2020-01-08 4
December 2019 Macro Survey - GHRA Sentiment Index at 114.9 = Continues to Moderate . . . But Remains Elevated Y/Y, Big Ticket (ex. Home Improvement) Ticks Up 2020-01-08 9
COST: Costco Wholesale - December SSS Pre-Game = Raising Core Comp View to 6.0% from 5.0% Post Footfall Data Work + Consumer Survey COST 2020-01-07 6

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