Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date
W: Wayfair - Opaque Margin Outlook Keeps Us Sidelined, Post 3Q Thoughts; Lowering Estimates & Price Target to $97 W 2018-11-02
SFM: Sprouts Farmers Markets - Lowering Estimates Post 3Q Print; Great Concept + Great Team, but ~20x Seems Expensive Given Earnings Algo = Stay Hold Rated SFM 2018-11-02
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - When You Are Going Through Hell . . .Keep On Going; Post 3Q Print – FND Poised to Finish Year on Better Note FND 2018-11-01
FIVE: Five Below - Empire State of Mind = 4 Key Takes Post NYC Flagship Store Opening; Reiterate Buy Rating + $150 Price Target FIVE 2018-11-01
FND: Floor & Decor Holdings - Reading the Print = Digging In, LT Thesis Intact... But NT Set-Up Tricky; Lowering 3Q18 EPS on SSS + FY19 EPS on Tariff FND 2018-10-29
W: Wayfair - Reading the Print = Raising 3Q Direct Revenue Growth to 42.0%; October Card Data > 3Q Trend W 2018-10-29
SFM: Sprouts Farmers Markets - Reading the Print: Card Data Indicates SSS of ~1.0%-1.5%, Respectable on the Stacks; Staying Sidelined Into Print SFM 2018-10-29
The Weekend Warrior (10/26) - In Focus: TSCO Core Comp + Heating Costs + WTI + Transportation Costs + Social Security COLA + Gas Prices + Holiday Sales Forecast 2018-10-26
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Give Me Back My Hometown – Sticking with Brentwood; Post Management Call Takes = Accumulate/$97 PT TSCO 2018-10-26
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Retail Quiz Today = Will The Fundamentals Matter??? If So . . . Tractor Works. Post 3Q Thoughts After A Strong Print. TSCO 2018-10-25
JCP: J.C. Penney - HQ Trip Notes… Some Good, Some Bad = Stay Hold Rated Accordingly JCP 2018-10-24
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - 3Q18 Reading The Print = Card Data + Macro Indicators Support Above Consensus Estimates . . . Stay Accumulate-Rated TSCO 2018-10-19
Macro Survey Results - Big Ticket Outlook + NT Sentiment Remains Very Healthy . . . But Some Yellow Flags on Wealth Effect Emerging; Final BTS Tally 2018-10-17
WMT: Wal-Mart - Top 10 Takes From Bentonville; Impressive Story . . . But At What Price? WMT 2018-10-16
WMT: Wal-Mart - ‘19 EPS Guide Set @ ~3.5% vs. “Bar” of 5.0%; SSS/Digital > Expectations, Analyst Day Take Part I WMT 2018-10-16
September ’18 Retail Sales Wrap - September Retail Sales (Ex-Autos) The Slowest Since April 2018 . . . Results Weaker Across the Board 2018-10-15
DLTR: Dollar Tree - Thesis Creep Can Be Dangerous; Downgrade to Hold = Southeast Checks + Card Data + Footfall Work Point to No Change @ FDO DLTR 2018-10-15
WMT: Wal-Mart - Raising 3Q SSS View on Data Science Work . . . But Lowering ’19 EPS to $4.80; 10 Questions for Team Ahead of Analyst Day, Hold WMT 2018-10-12
RH: RH - Deja Vu All Over Again . . . RH $700M Share Repurchase Authorization Implies +20% Share Reduction RH 2018-10-11
BJ: BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. - 3 Week Re-Branding Campaign - Our Thoughts, Stay Accumulate Rated BJ 2018-10-11

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