Retail Research


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Title Tickers Date Pages
FIVE: Five Below - What’s Wrong in Philly? First the Eagles . . . Now FIVE? Holiday SSS Way Below Expectations - Initial Thoughts FIVE 2020-01-13 3
Low & Middle Market Pricing Study (#19) - DG Nears Parity w/ WMT (+) . . . FDO Narrows The Gap (+); AMZN Gets Aggressive on Price; Inflation Fairly Steady Across the Board 2020-01-10 6
JCP: J.C. Penney - Holiday Results A Touch Better, But Uneventful; McCarthy Hire Remains the Big News In The D JCP 2020-01-09 4
KSS: Kohl's - Not A Great Holiday for Menomonee Falls – Lowering Estimates + Price Target to $44 = Where’s the Amazon Returns Lift? KSS 2020-01-09 4
COST: Costco Wholesale - Santa Galanti Delivers . . . Again; December Core SSS +7.8% vs. 6.0% Estimate = COST > BJ in Club Vertical COST 2020-01-08 5
Shades of Grey Portfolio - January 2020 - Tread Lightly Young Jedi Masters: Downgrading = DLTR, FIVE, BJ, & TSCO, Upgrading = JWN, Top Ideas . . . DG + TGT + WMT 2020-01-08 18
M: Macy's - “I Believe . . I Believe . . It’s Silly, But I Believe” – Better Holiday on 34th Street, Raising Estimates & Price Target to $18 M 2020-01-08 4
December 2019 Macro Survey - GHRA Sentiment Index at 114.9 = Continues to Moderate . . . But Remains Elevated Y/Y, Big Ticket (ex. Home Improvement) Ticks Up 2020-01-08 9
COST: Costco Wholesale - December SSS Pre-Game = Raising Core Comp View to 6.0% from 5.0% Post Footfall Data Work + Consumer Survey COST 2020-01-07 6
TSCO: Tractor Supply Company - Downgrade To Accumulate As Recent Comp Trends + 2020 Outlook Could Weigh On Near-Term Sentiment TSCO 2020-01-06 6
The Weekend Warrior - Happy Holidays from Team Grom . . . See You in The Next Decade 2019-12-20 10
Final 2019 Macro Survey - GHRA Sentiment Index at 124.4 = Down Slightly . . . But Remains Elevated Heading Into Key Holiday Period, Upper Income Demo ++ 2019-12-18 10
November ’19 Retail Sales Recap - Sales Weak Almost Across the Board . . . Can Be Explained Away but the Deceleration in Home Improvement Bears Monitoring 2019-12-13 3
COST: Costco Wholesale - No Special (Yet) . . . but Santa Galanti Delivers = 3 Favorable Factors To Monitor As We Turn The Corner Into 2020; Post 1Q Review COST 2019-12-12 6
HD: Home Depot - Downgrade to Accumulate-Rated from Buy-Rated; Lowering EPS & Price Target To $230 . . . Curbing Our Enthusiasm HD 2019-12-12 6
HD: Home Depot - 2020 Guide Implies EPS of ~$10.20-$10.30, Initial Thoughts HD 2019-12-11 5
RH: RH - Model Update – Raising Estimates & Price Target to $225 RH 2019-12-09 6
HOME: At Home Group - Dropping Coverage HOME 2019-12-05 3
Tractor Supply + Macy’s - Nashville's Broadway > NYC's Broadway; Quick Thoughts on Hal Lawton's Move to Tractor Supply from Macy's 2019-12-05 3
DG: Dollar General - Great Print . . . With One Exception, Post 3Q Takes - Raising EPS Estimates & Price Target to $180 DG 2019-12-05 6

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